Ajla Tomljanovic vs Iva JovicAustin Round of 16

Austin · WTA · Round of 16
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.4MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Tomljanovic A.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Jovic I.
Tomljanovic A.
4662
Jovic I.
6441

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Iva Jovic 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Austin round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iva Jovic came in ranked #16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Jovic I.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Serve advantage — Jovic I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomljanovic A.Jovic I.
26
Serve
40
52
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
95
Break points won·Slight edge
92
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
92
Tiebreaks·
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
6.1+125 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1906
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
84

Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jovic I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast