Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimova — US Open Round of 32

US Open · WTA · Round of 32
Anastasia Potapova
RUS24
Anastasia Potapova
#25WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 2nd on
Amanda Anisimova
USA10
Amanda Anisimova
#10WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWLWW
Potapova A.
6-2 7-5
Anisimova A.
Potapova A.
672
Anisimova A.
250

Anastasia Potapova defeated Amanda Anisimova in the Round of 32 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 7-5 in Potapova's favor. Potapova converted 50% of her break points and won two service breaks to Anisimova's zero, while both players hit one ace and committed three and two double faults respectively.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “Everyone kind of pushes each other. I think it's great.”

    Anisimova A.The New York Times ↗

  • “Well, to be honest, we had tactics before the match, which don't match my game, so it already was not easy. But the way I managed to use the tactics, I think it's one of the best games that I've ever had.”

    Potapova A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “It just takes all the past years that I've been on tour, all the matches that I've played, to learn from that. The people who also help me to understand some things. And maturity really plays a big role in becoming better and better.”

    Potapova A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-05-11RomeQ32clayAmanda Anisimova6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
Potapova A.Anisimova A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Potapova A.Anisimova A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
93
Break points saved·Dominant
43
84
Break points won·Slight edge
93
99
Deciding sets·Even
93
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Potapova A.25%
Anisimova A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Anisimova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potapova A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Anisimova A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Potapova A.Anisimova A.
Freshness·Clear edge
64
82

Potapova A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw