Lilli Tagger vs Amanda Anisimova — US Open Round of 64
USA10
Tagger L.
Lilli Tagger faces Amanda Anisimova in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Amanda Anisimova is the paper favourite — ranked #10, defending last year's final, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage — but Lilli Tagger arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Amanda Anisimova's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Anisimova A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Lilli Tagger 38 games in 14 days, Amanda Anisimova 95.
- Form trend: Lilli Tagger's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Amanda Anisimova's has cooled.
- Last match: Amanda Anisimova dropped just 4 games past Ashlyn Krueger.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadTagger L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Anisimova A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.