Amanda Anisimova vs Jasmine Paolini — Beijing Quarter-final

Beijing · WTA · Quarter-final
Amanda Anisimova
USA3
Amanda Anisimova
#6WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Jasmine Paolini
ITA6
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Anisimova A.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Paolini J.
Anisimova A.
64662
Paolini J.
77341

Amanda Anisimova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Amanda Anisimova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Amanda Anisimova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-17ParmaR32clayAmanda Anisimova6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Serve advantage — Anisimova A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Anisimova A.Paolini J.
51
Serve
31
72
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Anisimova A.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Anisimova A.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
87
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Anisimova A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 48 days (−1.0)
Paolini J.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1873
6.3Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
8.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Anisimova A.Paolini J.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
76

Anisimova A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Anisimova A.[3]
Noskova L.[26]
6-02-66-2
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[2]
Lys E.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Paolini J.[6]
6-746-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Kartal S.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[16]
6-726-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[6]
Bouzkova M.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[2]
Bencic B.[15]
4-67-646-2
Pegula J.[5]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-36-746-1
Kartal S.
Andreeva M.[4]
7-52-67-5
Noskova L.[26]
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Lys E.
Kessler M.
4-66-16-2
Anisimova A.[3]
Muchova K.[13]
1-66-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-44-66-0
R32
Kessler M.
Krejcikova B.
1-67-53-0
Noskova L.[26]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-43-63-0
Navarro E.[16]
Boisson L.
6-21-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-00-0
Muchova K.[13]
Badosa P.[18]
4-2
Gauff C.[2]
Fernandez L.[25]
6-44-67-5
Bencic B.[15]
Hon P.
4-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Raducanu E.[30]
3-67-696-0
Bouzkova M.
Kudermetova V.[24]
6-37-5
Paolini J.[6]
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-0
Lys E.
Rybakina E.[8]
6-31-66-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Zhang S.
7-6116-0
Kostyuk M.[23]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-37-5
Kartal S.
Joint M.
6-36-2
R64
Sasnovich A.
Osaka N.[12]
1-66-46-2
Kessler M.
Mertens E.[20]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[8]
Mcnally C.
7-54-66-3
Noskova L.[26]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-14-66-4
Kartal S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-36-0
Joint M.
Shnaider D.[17]
7-56-1
Navarro E.[16]
Ruse E.
6-37-60
Muchova K.[13]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Yuan Y.
6-06-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Kostyuk M.[23]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.[29]
7-56-4
Badosa P.[18]
Ruzic A.
6-37-62
Bouzkova M.
Linette M.[33]
7-57-5
Kudermetova V.[24]
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Bencic B.[15]
Volynets K.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Jovic I.[32]
6-34-67-5
Pegula J.[5]
Tomljanovic A.
6-06-3
Gauff C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.[25]
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Hon P.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-56-2
Zhang S.
Wang X.[31]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sevastova A.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Mboko V.[21]
7-657-5
Sonmez Z.
Tauson C.[10]
6-42-66-3
Kenin S.[27]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Stearns P.
6-42-66-3
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-2
Ruse E.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Kartal S.
Parks A.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Cristian J.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-616-2
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-26-4
Seidel E.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Tjen J.
6-747-56-1
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Osorio C.
Li A.
7-56-757-5
Sakkari M.
Krueger A.
7-656-757-5
Hon P.
Golubic V.
1-66-37-64
Potapova A.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Wei S.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Andreescu B.
6-47-64
Mcnally C.
Siegemund L.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Rakhimova K.
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Boulter K.
Baptiste H.
7-55-76-4
Krejcikova B.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kessler M.
Shi H.
6-27-65
Lys E.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Ruzic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Dolehide C.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Maria T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Inglis M.
7-57-67
Sevastova A.
Birrell K.
6-37-61
Arango E.
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Galfi D.
7-665-76-2