

Daniil Medvedev defeated Arthur Rinderknech in the Round of 32 at the US Open, winning in straight sets 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. Medvedev and Rinderknech served five aces apiece, while Medvedev made four double faults to Rinderknech's one. Medvedev converted all of his break points, compared to Rinderknech's 50%, and won three service breaks to Rinderknech's one.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
“We have no idea how Carlos' wrist is going to feel, body is going to feel going later into the tournament, but he's definitely a top favourite for the title.”
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| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | SF | hard | Arthur Rinderknech | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | US Open | R64 | hard | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-5 6-3 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Clear favourite · Medvedev D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Medvedev D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About