Daniil Medvedev vs Martin DammWinston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 ·
hard
#92ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
Medvedev D.
5-7 3-6
Damm M.
Medvedev D.
530
Damm M.
762

Martin Damm defeated Daniil Medvedev in the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 3-6 in favor of Damm. Damm hit 8 aces and 5 double faults, while Medvedev had 10 aces and 4 double faults; Damm converted 67% of break points and won 2 service breaks, compared to Medvedev's 0% conversion and 0 service breaks.

Around the match

  • Maybe I should start a career in pickleball – not too late, with Jack Sock, doubles. Every sport on the planet is better, even curling right now.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Martin Damm closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
32%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
12.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
98
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Medvedev D.70%
Damm M.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Medvedev D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+306 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1657
8.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.8Won 62% in Usa (48)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
69

Medvedev D.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Damm M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw