Arthur Rinderknech vs Flavio CobolliUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Rinderknech A.
6-7 7-6 7-5
Cobolli F.
Rinderknech A.
647772
Cobolli F.
776551

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-7 7-6 7-5 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10. Arthur Rinderknech extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05Canada MastersR32hardArthur Rinderknech6-3 6-2
2024-06-24EastbourneR32grassFlavio Cobolli6-4 7-5
2023-05-08Rome MastersR128clayArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Cobolli F.
50
Serve
20
1
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
6
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.5+62 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1896
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
56

Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%