Arthur Rinderknech vs Flavio CobolliCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Rinderknech A.
6-3 6-2
Cobolli F.
Rinderknech A.
662
Cobolli F.
320

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9. Arthur Rinderknech extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardArthur Rinderknech6-7(4) 7-6(5) 7-5
2024-06-24EastbourneR32grassFlavio Cobolli6-4 7-5
2023-05-08Rome MastersR128clayArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Cobolli F.
50
Serve
20
1
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 159). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
76
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
6
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
5.5+62 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
0.2
4.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
66

Rinderknech A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%