Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley — Newport
Blanch D.
Darwin Blanch faces Jacob Fearnley in the Newport match on grass. Jacob Fearnley holds the paper edge — ranked #159, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Fearnley J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Darwin Blanch 56 games in 14 days, Jacob Fearnley 105.
- Form trend: Jacob Fearnley's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Darwin Blanch's has cooled.
- Last match: Darwin Blanch dropped the opening set before beating Garrett Johns 5–7 6–3 6–3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBlanch D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.