Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky — Newport
Galarneau A.
Alexis Galarneau faces Daniel Milavsky in the Newport match on grass. Alexis Galarneau is the paper favourite — ranked #179, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage — but Daniel Milavsky arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last grass matches to Alexis Galarneau's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Galarneau A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexis Galarneau 33 games in 14 days, Daniel Milavsky 93.
- Last match: Daniel Milavsky dropped just 3 games past Bu Yunchaokete.
- Surface form: Alexis Galarneau 3 of 4, Daniel Milavsky 4 of 4 on grass recently — Daniel Milavsky the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGalarneau A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Milavsky D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.