Arthur Gea vs Tyler Zink — Newport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

FRA

Arthur Gea

#136ATP

1597ELO

1505Grass ELO

$352kYTD

$604kCAREER

21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWLWLLWW

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Sets

Wednesday, 8 July 2026 · 12:30

grass

USA

Tyler Zink

#330ATP

1371ELO

1400Grass ELO

25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWLWW

Gea A.

Zink T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC

Gea A.88%

Zink T.12%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gea A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gea A.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Zink T.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.3+105 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1400

7.8Overall Elo 1596

ELO gap

2.2Overall Elo 1371

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.73 of last 6 on grass

Surface form

6.43 of last 5 on grass

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gea A.Stable

Zink T.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season

Gea A.Zink T.

1st serve in·Even

59%

1st serve points won·Even

75%

72%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

54%

Service points won·Even

65%

64%

Return points won·Even

39%

38%

Break points saved·Even

65%

Aces / match·Even

5.5

5.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.3

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Gea A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zink T.

Zink T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Gea A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Gea A.Zink T.

Freshness·Slight edge

Gea A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zink T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CClear

Wind 15 km/hHumidity 72%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final

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