Bernard Tomic vs Adam Walton — Newport Round of 16
AUS
Tomic B.Bernard Tomic faces Adam Walton in the Newport round of 16 on grass. Adam Walton holds the paper edge — ranked #85, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Walton A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Bernard Tomic comes in with 14 days of rest and 20 games in 14d, vs Adam Walton's 9 and 63.
- Last match: Bernard Tomic dropped just 5 games past Braden Shick.
- Last match: Adam Walton dropped just 4 games past Mackenzie Mcdonald.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.