Daniel Milavsky vs Bu Yunchaokete — Newport Round of 16
Milavsky D.
Daniel Milavsky faces Bu Yunchaokete in the Newport round of 16 on grass. Bu Yunchaokete is the paper favourite — a roughly 280-point grass Elo advantage — but Daniel Milavsky rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Yunchaokete B. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Daniel Milavsky 74 games in 14 days, Bu Yunchaokete 35.
- Win streak: Daniel Milavsky arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMilavsky D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Yunchaokete B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.