James Mccabe vs Jason Jung — Newport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
AUS
James Mccabe
#207ATP
1532ELO
1537Grass ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 4th on
Jason Jung
TPEQ
Jason Jung
#1095ATP
1420ELO
1417Grass ELO
37 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLLLWL
Mccabe J.
vs
Jung J.

James Mccabe faces Jason Jung in the Newport round of 32 on grass. James Mccabe holds the paper edge — ranked #207, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC
Mccabe J.82%
Jung J.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mccabe J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mccabe J.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Jung J.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1417
6.4Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1420
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.65 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Mccabe J.Stable
Jung J.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Mccabe J.Jung J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
55%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
40%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mccabe J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Jung J.

Jung J.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Mccabe J.Jung J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
21
Break points saved·Clear edge
85
64
Break points won·Even
9
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
21
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mccabe J.Jung J.
Freshness·Dominant
100
68

Mccabe J.: 16 days rest · Jung J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 2Tomic B. v Shick B.
  2. 4Mccabe J. v Jung J.This match
  3. 6Kozlov S. v Wu Y.

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.