Jenson Brooksby vs Patrick MaloneyNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#81ATP
1694ELO
1634Grass ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#781ATP
1321ELO
1371Grass ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLLWLL
Brooksby J.
vs
Maloney P.

Jenson Brooksby faces Patrick Maloney in the Newport round of 32 on grass. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 260-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Brooksby J.93%
Maloney P.7%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brooksby J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.3+263 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Grass Elo 1371
9.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
0.3Overall Elo 1321
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Maloney P.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
65%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
60%
Return points won·
33%
Break points saved·
52%
Aces / match·
2.1
Double faults / match·
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
90

Brooksby J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Maloney P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31HoustonQ2clayJenson Brooksby6-4 6-2