Garrett Johns vs Darwin Blanch

Newport · CHALLENGER

USA

Garrett Johns

#382ATP

1336ELO

1368Grass ELO

25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLLLWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 9 July 2026 · 16:40

grass

USA

Darwin Blanch

#224ATP

1551ELO

1458Grass ELO

18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWLWWL

Johns G.

Blanch D.

Garrett Johns faces Darwin Blanch in the Newport match on grass. Darwin Blanch holds the paper edge — ranked #224, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC

Johns G.13%

Blanch D.87%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Blanch D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Garrett Johns dropped the opening set before beating Patrick Maloney 3–6 6–3 6–4.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Form trajectory

Johns G.Cooling

Blanch D.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Johns G.Blanch D.

1st serve in·Slight edge

63%

58%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

66%

74%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

49%

Service points won·Even

61%

63%

Return points won·Even

40%

39%

Break points saved·Even

60%

59%

Aces / match·Dominant

2.6

6.4

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.7

3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Johns G.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Blanch D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Johns G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Johns G.Blanch D.

Freshness·Even

Johns G.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Garrett Johns vs Darwin Blanch — Newport