Sinja Kraus vs Yulia Putintseva — Bastad Quarter-final
Kraus S.
Sinja Kraus faces Yulia Putintseva in the Bastad quarter-final on clay. Yulia Putintseva holds the paper edge — ranked #84, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Putintseva Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Yulia Putintseva has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 83 vs 56).
- Last match: Sinja Kraus dropped just 6 games past Caijsa Wilda Hennemann.
- Last match: Yulia Putintseva edged Lola Radivojevic in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKraus S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Putintseva Y.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.