Sinja Kraus vs Caijsa Wilda HennemannBastad Round of 16

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#93WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
1509ELO
1479Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWL
Kraus S.
vs
Hennemann C.

Sinja Kraus faces Caijsa Wilda Hennemann in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Kraus S.85%
Hennemann C.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kraus S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+217 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1479
5.9Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1509
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kraus S.serving37% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Hennemann C.

Hennemann C.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Kraus S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Kraus S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.