Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja SemenistajaBastad

Bastad · CHALLENGER
#143WTA
1601ELO
1571Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#104WTA
1660ELO
1642Clay ELO
23 yrs · 169 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWWW
Romero Gormaz L.
vs
Semenistaja D.

Leyre Romero Gormaz faces Darja Semenistaja in the Bastad match on clay. Darja Semenistaja is the paper favourite — ranked #104, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Darja Semenistaja's 4.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1571
Surface ELO
5.9+71 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1601
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1660
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.59 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
48%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Romero Gormaz L.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Semenistaja D.

Semenistaja D.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Romero Gormaz L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
46
52
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
81

Romero Gormaz L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Semenistaja D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.