Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Leyre Romero Gormaz — Bastad Round of 16
Bulgaru M.
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru faces Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. Leyre Romero Gormaz holds the paper edge — a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Romero Gormaz L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Miriam Bianca Bulgaru 0 games in 14 days, Leyre Romero Gormaz 15.
- Last match: Miriam Bianca Bulgaru dropped just 4 games past Valeriya Strakhova.
- Surface form: Miriam Bianca Bulgaru 2 of 9, Leyre Romero Gormaz 8 of 9 on clay recently — Leyre Romero Gormaz the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBulgaru M.: 18 days rest · Romero Gormaz L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.