Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia PutintsevaBastad Round of 16

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#148WTA
1555ELO
1544Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
WLLWLWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
#84WTA
1805ELO
1740Clay ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLLWWW
Radivojevic L.
vs
Putintseva Y.

Lola Radivojevic faces Yulia Putintseva in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. Yulia Putintseva holds the paper edge — ranked #84, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Radivojevic L.12%
Putintseva Y.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Putintseva Y. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1544
Surface ELO
7.4+196 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1555
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1805
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Radivojevic L.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Putintseva Y.

Putintseva Y.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Radivojevic L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
83
Break points saved·Even
83
87
Break points won·Clear edge
80
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
42
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
83

Radivojevic L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Putintseva Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.