Marina Bassols Ribera vs Paula BadosaBastad

Bastad · CHALLENGER
#144WTA
1557ELO
1538Clay ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWWWL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#141WTA
1779ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLLLW
Bassols Ribera M.
vs
Badosa P.

Marina Bassols Ribera faces Paula Badosa in the Bastad match on clay. Paula Badosa is the paper favourite — ranked #141, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Marina Bassols Ribera arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay to Paula Badosa's 1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1538
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1557
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
7.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bassols Ribera M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Bassols Ribera M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
91
Break points saved·Dominant
27
95
Break points won·Slight edge
89
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
87

Bassols Ribera M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Badosa P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.