Simona Waltert vs Aneta Laboutkova — Bastad Round of 16
Waltert S.
Simona Waltert faces Aneta Laboutkova in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. Simona Waltert is the paper favourite — ranked #90, a roughly 500-point clay Elo advantage — but Aneta Laboutkova arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Simona Waltert's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Waltert S. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Simona Waltert dropped just 5 games past Katarzyna Kawa.
- Last match: Aneta Laboutkova dropped just 2 games past G. Bernstein.
- Surface form: Simona Waltert 2 of 4, Aneta Laboutkova 3 of 4 on clay recently — Aneta Laboutkova the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadWaltert S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.