Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Valeriya StrakhovaBastad

Bastad · CHALLENGER
1391ELO
1357Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLLLLL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#555WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLLWL
Bulgaru M.
vs
Strakhova V.

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru faces Valeriya Strakhova in the Bastad match on clay. Miriam Bianca Bulgaru holds the paper edge — a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Form trend: Miriam Bianca Bulgaru's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Valeriya Strakhova's has cooled.
  • Surface form: Both 1 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1198
6.2Overall Elo 1391
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1179
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
1.41 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.22 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

11 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
37%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bulgaru M.serving30% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Strakhova V.

Strakhova V.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Bulgaru M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
20
2
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
1
Break points won·Dominant
60
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
19
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bulgaru M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.