Andrea Guerrieri vs Hugo Dellien — Trieste Round of 16
BOL
Guerrieri A.
Andrea Guerrieri faces Hugo Dellien in the Trieste round of 16 on clay. Hugo Dellien is the paper favourite — ranked #162, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage — but Andrea Guerrieri arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Hugo Dellien's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Dellien H. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Andrea Guerrieri 23 games in 14 days, Hugo Dellien 29.
- Surface form: Andrea Guerrieri 4 of 6, Hugo Dellien 2 of 6 on clay recently — Andrea Guerrieri the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGuerrieri A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dellien H.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.