Andrea Guerrieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Trieste Round of 32
Guerrieri A.
Andrea Guerrieri faces Oriol Roca Batalla in the Trieste round of 32 on clay. Andrea Guerrieri holds the paper edge — ranked #227, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Guerrieri A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Andrea Guerrieri comes in with 11 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Oriol Roca Batalla's 5 and 132.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGuerrieri A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Roca Batalla O.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.