Raul Brancaccio vs Franco Agamenone — Trieste Round of 32
Brancaccio R.Raul Brancaccio faces Franco Agamenone in the Trieste round of 32 on clay. Raul Brancaccio is the paper favourite — ranked #248, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Franco Agamenone arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Raul Brancaccio's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Brancaccio R. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Raul Brancaccio comes in with 3 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Franco Agamenone's 11 and 54.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Franco Agamenone has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 45 vs 10).
- Head-to-head: Raul Brancaccio leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Australian Open 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBrancaccio R.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d) · Agamenone F.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Q1 | hard | Raul Brancaccio | 6-4 6-1 |