Luca Potenza vs Lorenzo AngeliniTrieste Qualifying Semi-final

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#438ATP
1352ELO
1308Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWWWL
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#683ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWLLWW
Potenza L.
vs
Angelini L.

Luca Potenza faces Lorenzo Angelini in the Trieste qualifying semi-final on clay. Luca Potenza holds the paper edge — ranked #438. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Luca Potenza 78 games in 14 days, Lorenzo Angelini 66.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Angelini L.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Potenza L.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Angelini L.

Angelini L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
93

Potenza L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Angelini L.: 11 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on CENTER COURT · not before Followed By · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Villanueva G. v Kovalik J.Live
    5-6
  2. 2Sciahbasi M. v Oradini G.
  3. 3Ingildsen J. v Fellin P.
  4. 4Potenza L. v Angelini L.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.