Franco Roncadelli vs Michele Ribecai — Trieste Round of 32
Roncadelli F.
Franco Roncadelli faces Michele Ribecai in the Trieste round of 32 on clay. Franco Roncadelli holds the paper edge — ranked #245, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Franco Roncadelli 4 of 9, Michele Ribecai 3 of 9 on clay recently — Franco Roncadelli the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRoncadelli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Ribecai M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.