Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodig — Trieste Round of 16
Ribecai M.
Michele Ribecai faces Matej Dodig in the Trieste round of 16 on clay. Matej Dodig holds the paper edge — ranked #208, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Dodig M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Michele Ribecai comes in with 6 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Matej Dodig's 12 and 56.
- Last match: Michele Ribecai dropped just 6 games past Franco Roncadelli.
- Last match: Matej Dodig dropped just 6 games past Sumit Nagal.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRibecai M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Dodig M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.