Marie Bouzkova vs Hannah KlugmanNottingham Round of 16

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 16
#28WTA
1835ELO
1666Grass ELO
$805kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
#511WTA
1420ELO
1317Grass ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLWWL
Bouzkova M.
vs
Klugman H.

Marie Bouzkova faces Hannah Klugman in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #28, a roughly 350-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Bouzkova M.86%
Klugman H.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bouzkova M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.4+349 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Grass Elo 1317
8.3Overall Elo 1835
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1420
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
6.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Klugman H.

Klugman H.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
76

Bouzkova M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Klugman H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.