Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari — Nottingham Round of 32

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32

CHN

Qinwen Zheng

#122WTA

1909ELO

1662Grass ELO

$283kYTD

$10MCAREER

23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLLWLWWLL

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

GRE

Maria Sakkari

#37WTA

1829ELO

1663Grass ELO

$669kYTD

$14MCAREER

30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLLLLLL

Qinwen Zheng faces Maria Sakkari in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Maria Sakkari holds the paper edge — ranked #37. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Key context

Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 2–2, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Charleston 2025.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Zheng Q.64%

Sakkari M.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zheng Q. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Zheng Q.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Sakkari M.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.0Grass Elo 1662

Surface ELO

5.0+0 Grass Elo edge

6.5Overall Elo 1909

ELO gap

3.5Overall Elo 1828

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

2.93 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

3.64 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

14°CClear

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

2–2

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-03-31	Charleston	R32	clay	Qinwen Zheng	6-4 6-1
2023-10-09	Zhengzhou	R16	hard	Qinwen Zheng	7-6(2) 6-3
2023-02-13	Doha	R32	hard	Maria Sakkari	6-2 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17	Australian Open	R64	hard	Maria Sakkari	6-1 6-4

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Zheng Q.Sakkari M.

56%1st serve in+9%65%

72%1st serve points won+10%62%

45%2nd serve points won+2%47%

60%Service points won+4%56%

42%Return points won+2%44%

58%Break points saved+4%62%

7.4Aces / match+4.92.5

4.9Double faults / match+31.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.