Qinwen Zheng vs Maria SakkariCharleston Round of 32

Charleston · WTA · Round of 32
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Zheng Q.
6-4 6-1
Sakkari M.
Zheng Q.
662
Sakkari M.
410

Qinwen Zheng defeated Maria Sakkari 6-4 6-1 in the Charleston round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, defending last year's semi-final. Qinwen Zheng extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15NottinghamR32grassQinwen Zheng4-6 7.7-6.1 6-4
2023-10-09ZhengzhouR16hardQinwen Zheng7-6(2) 6-3
2023-02-13DohaR32hardMaria Sakkari6-2 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardMaria Sakkari6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Serve advantage — Zheng Q.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
81
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+57 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1754
5.9Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
6.1
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.4
Country comfort
5.8
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%