Mccartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets — Nottingham Round of 32
Kessler M.Mccartney Kessler faces Katie Volynets in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Mccartney Kessler holds the paper edge — ranked #39, defending the title, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kessler M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mccartney Kessler comes in with 6 days of rest and 32 games in 14d, vs Katie Volynets's 1 and 95.
- Serve & return: Mccartney Kessler brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 39), Katie Volynets the stronger return game (Return Rating 57).
- Last match: Katie Volynets dropped the opening set before beating Kimberly Birrell 2–6 6–4 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKessler M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.