Eva Lys vs Mccartney Kessler — Beijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
Eva Lys
GER
Eva Lys
#76WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Mccartney Kessler
USA
Mccartney Kessler
#57WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Lys E.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Kessler M.
Lys E.
4662
Kessler M.
6121

Eva Lys defeated Mccartney Kessler 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mccartney Kessler came in ranked #57, defending last year's round of 128. Eva Lys extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14OsakaR16hardEva Lys7-6(7) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Lys E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Kessler M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lys E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lys E.Kessler M.
11
Serve
27
81
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Lys E.Kessler M.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lys E.Kessler M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
84
Break points saved·Dominant
57
91
Break points won·Even
95
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
94
Tiebreaks·
—
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lys E.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Kessler M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1770
Surface ELO
5.3+15 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1808
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
5.2
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lys E.Kessler M.
Freshness·Even
98
97

Lys E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kessler M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Anisimova A.[3]
Noskova L.[26]
6-02-66-2
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[2]
Lys E.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Paolini J.[6]
6-746-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Kartal S.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[16]
6-726-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[6]
Bouzkova M.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[2]
Bencic B.[15]
4-67-646-2
Pegula J.[5]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-36-746-1
Kartal S.
Andreeva M.[4]
7-52-67-5
Noskova L.[26]
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Lys E.
Kessler M.
4-66-16-2
Anisimova A.[3]
Muchova K.[13]
1-66-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-44-66-0
R32
Kessler M.
Krejcikova B.
1-67-53-0
Noskova L.[26]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-43-63-0
Navarro E.[16]
Boisson L.
6-21-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-00-0
Muchova K.[13]
Badosa P.[18]
4-2
Gauff C.[2]
Fernandez L.[25]
6-44-67-5
Bencic B.[15]
Hon P.
4-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Raducanu E.[30]
3-67-696-0
Bouzkova M.
Kudermetova V.[24]
6-37-5
Paolini J.[6]
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-0
Lys E.
Rybakina E.[8]
6-31-66-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Zhang S.
7-6116-0
Kostyuk M.[23]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-37-5
Kartal S.
Joint M.
6-36-2
R64
Sasnovich A.
Osaka N.[12]
1-66-46-2
Kessler M.
Mertens E.[20]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[8]
Mcnally C.
7-54-66-3
Noskova L.[26]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-14-66-4
Kartal S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-36-0
Joint M.
Shnaider D.[17]
7-56-1
Navarro E.[16]
Ruse E.
6-37-60
Muchova K.[13]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Yuan Y.
6-06-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Kostyuk M.[23]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.[29]
7-56-4
Badosa P.[18]
Ruzic A.
6-37-62
Bouzkova M.
Linette M.[33]
7-57-5
Kudermetova V.[24]
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Bencic B.[15]
Volynets K.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Jovic I.[32]
6-34-67-5
Pegula J.[5]
Tomljanovic A.
6-06-3
Gauff C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.[25]
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Hon P.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-56-2
Zhang S.
Wang X.[31]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sevastova A.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Mboko V.[21]
7-657-5
Sonmez Z.
Tauson C.[10]
6-42-66-3
Kenin S.[27]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Stearns P.
6-42-66-3
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-2
Ruse E.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Kartal S.
Parks A.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Cristian J.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-616-2
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-26-4
Seidel E.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Tjen J.
6-747-56-1
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Osorio C.
Li A.
7-56-757-5
Sakkari M.
Krueger A.
7-656-757-5
Hon P.
Golubic V.
1-66-37-64
Potapova A.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Wei S.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Andreescu B.
6-47-64
Mcnally C.
Siegemund L.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Rakhimova K.
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Boulter K.
Baptiste H.
7-55-76-4
Krejcikova B.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kessler M.
Shi H.
6-27-65
Lys E.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Ruzic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Dolehide C.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Maria T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Inglis M.
7-57-67
Sevastova A.
Birrell K.
6-37-61
Arango E.
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Galfi D.
7-665-76-2