Katie Volynets vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — Nottingham Round of 16
Volynets K.
Katie Volynets faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is the paper favourite — ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage — but Katie Volynets rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Katie Volynets comes in with 2 days of rest and 126 games in 14d, vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's 1 and 36.
- Last match: Katie Volynets dropped just 6 games past Mccartney Kessler.
- Head-to-head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Osaka 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVolynets K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 1 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Starodubtseva Y. v Navarro E.
- 2Volynets K. v Bouzas Maneiro J.This match
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Osaka | R32 | hard | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6-2 6-4 |