Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
INA#40WTA
1741ELO
1620Grass ELO
$489kYTD
$843kCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLL
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:20 UTCMaria T.34%
Tjen J.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Tjen J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0+0 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO5.0Grass Elo 1620
3.0Overall Elo 1617
ELO gap7.0Overall Elo 1740
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form57%1st serve in+3%60%
65%1st serve points won+1%66%
46%2nd serve points won+1%47%
57%Service points won+2%59%
40%Return points won40%
57%Break points saved+2%55%
4.2Aces / match+13.2
2.4Double faults / match+0.93.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch comparison
13Clutch Rating81
30Break points saved86
78Break points won84
9Deciding sets82
59Tiebreaks98
Performance in the biggest moments (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Maria T.
64 / 100
2 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d)
Tjen J.
88 / 100
5 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d)
Recent on-court load (higher = fresher). About