Ann Li vs Taylah Preston — Nottingham Round of 16
USA
Li A.
Ann Li faces Taylah Preston in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. Ann Li holds the paper edge — ranked #29, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Li A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ann Li 0 games in 14 days, Taylah Preston 184.
- Under pressure: Ann Li has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 73 vs Taylah Preston's 43).
- Last match: Ann Li dropped the opening set before beating Kimberly Birrell 4–6 7–6 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadLi A.: 19 days rest · Preston T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.