Caty Mcnally vs Antonia RuzicNottingham Round of 32

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
#59WTA
1809ELO
1704Grass ELO
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#58WTA
1728ELO
1573Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLLL
Mcnally C.
vs
Ruzic A.

Caty Mcnally faces Antonia Ruzic in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Antonia Ruzic holds the paper edge — ranked #58, defending last year's round of 16.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Mcnally C.66%
Ruzic A.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mcnally C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+131 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Grass Elo 1573
5.8Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1728
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ruzic A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcnally C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ruzic A.

Ruzic A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Serve advantage — Mcnally C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
73
84
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
74
78
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
68
71

Mcnally C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Ruzic A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.