Solana Sierra vs Caty McnallyHobart Round of 32

Hobart · WTA · Round of 32
#56WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Sierra S.
1-6 6-4 6-1
Mcnally C.
Sierra S.
1662
Mcnally C.
6411

Solana Sierra defeated Caty Mcnally 1-6 6-4 6-1 in the Hobart round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #50, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Solana Sierra claimed a first win over Caty Mcnally in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassCaty Mcnally6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sierra S.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Serve advantage — Mcnally C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sierra S.Mcnally C.
12
Serve
26
6
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
73
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
6.4+74 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1783
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1817
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
96

Sierra S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcnally C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 54%