Sara Bejlek vs Emma Navarro — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
CZE#46WTA
1780ELO
1501Grass ELO
$410kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
USA#25WTA
1839ELO
1753Grass ELO
$463kYTD
$6.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWLW
Sara Bejlek faces Emma Navarro in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Emma Navarro holds the paper edge — ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 250-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Emma Navarro leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Strasbourg 2026.
- Fatigue load: Emma Navarro carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCBejlek S.22%
Navarro E.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
1.9Grass Elo 1501
Surface ELO8.1+252 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap5.3Overall Elo 1839
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
1.61 of last 6 on grass
Surface form5.96 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Strasbourg | R32 | clay | Emma Navarro | 1-6 4-6 |
Statistics
Recent form67%1st serve in+6%61%
62%1st serve points won+3%65%
49%2nd serve points won+1%48%
58%Service points won58%
51%Return points won+8%43%
55%Break points saved55%
0.9Aces / match+1.22.1
2.4Double faults / match+1.53.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.