L. Boisson vs Dayana YastremskaNottingham Round of 32

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
Last 10No recent matches
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#49WTA
1816ELO
1700Grass ELO
$373kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWW
L. Boisson
vs
Yastremska D.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
L. Boisson31%
Yastremska D.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yastremska D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

L. BoissonNot enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
62%
1st serve points won·
60%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
56%
Return points won·
43%
Break points saved·
51%
Aces / match·
2.3
Double faults / match·
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Yastremska D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.