Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza ValentovaNottingham Round of 32

Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1831ELO
1663Grass ELO
$553kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#47WTA
1865ELO
1652Grass ELO
$436kYTD
$929kCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLLWL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Bouzkova M.40%
Valentova T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Valentova T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.1+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Grass Elo 1652
4.5Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1865
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21PragueSFclayMarie Bouzkova6-4 7-5

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+4%62%
63%1st serve points won+1%64%
43%2nd serve points won+1%42%
56%Service points won56%
44%Return points won+2%46%
56%Break points saved+5%61%
1.9Aces / match+1.23.1
3.9Double faults / match+0.14

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.