Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza ValentovaLivesport Prague Open Quarter-final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Quarter-final
#21WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWW
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
#63WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWL
Bouzkova M.
vs
Valentova T.

Marie Bouzkova faces Tereza Valentova in the Livesport Prague Open quarter-final on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Bouzkova M.53%
Valentova T.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1796
5.7Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1818
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Valentova T.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
77

Bouzkova M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15NottinghamR32grassMarie Bouzkova6-3 6-3
2025-07-21PragueSFclayMarie Bouzkova6-4 7-5

Draw