Himeno Sakatsume vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro — Nottingham Round of 32
Sakatsume H.
Himeno Sakatsume faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro holds the paper edge — ranked #54, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Bouzas Maneiro J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Himeno Sakatsume comes in with 1 days of rest and 59 games in 14d, vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's 4 and 16.
- Last match: Himeno Sakatsume dropped just 6 games past Alicia Dudeney.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSakatsume H.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on Court 4 · not before Followed By · up next on court
- 3Sakatsume H. v Bouzas Maneiro J.This match
- 4Blinkova A. v Preston T.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.