Himeno Sakatsume vs Sofia KeninHong Kong Round of 32

Hong Kong · WTA · Round of 32
#123WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Sakatsume H.
6-2 6-1
Kenin S.
Sakatsume H.
662
Kenin S.
210

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Sofia Kenin 6-2 6-1 in the Hong Kong round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sofia Kenin came in ranked #105, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakatsume H.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Serve advantage — Sakatsume H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakatsume H.Kenin S.
Serve
13
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
62
66
Break points saved·Dominant
64
92
Break points won·Clear edge
97
85
Deciding sets·Slight edge
62
54
Tiebreaks·
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1599
Surface ELO
5.9+60 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.7
7.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Sakatsume H.: 18 days rest · Kenin S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast