Remy Bertola vs Yibing Wu — Nottingham Round of 16
CHN3
Bertola R.
Remy Bertola faces Yibing Wu in the Nottingham round of 16 on grass. Yibing Wu is the paper favourite — ranked #101, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage — but Remy Bertola rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Wu Y. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Remy Bertola 218 games in 14 days, Yibing Wu 46.
- Under pressure: Yibing Wu has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 83 vs Remy Bertola's 23).
- Last match: Remy Bertola dropped the opening set before beating Luca Nardi 3–6 7–6 7–6.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBertola R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Wu Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.