Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#119ATP
1625ELO
1536Grass ELO
$202kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLLL
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTCGill F.13%
Gaston H.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Gaston H. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.5Grass Elo 1334
Surface ELO7.5+203 Grass Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap7.3Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.86 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form66%1st serve in+14%52%
69%1st serve points won+2%67%
55%2nd serve points won+6%49%
64%Service points won+5%59%
37%Return points won+3%40%
64%Break points saved+10%54%
4.2Aces / match+22.2
1.6Double faults / match+0.52.1
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.