Jaime Faria vs Moez EcharguiNottingham Round of 32

Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#94ATP
1681ELO
1602Grass ELO
$310kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#142ATP
1462ELO
1431Grass ELO
$138kYTD
$436kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTC
Faria J.90%
Echargui M.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Faria J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.1+171 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1431
7.7Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1462
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
59%1st serve in59%
71%1st serve points won+3%68%
52%2nd serve points won52%
63%Service points won+2%61%
41%Return points won+7%34%
56%Break points saved56%
4.8Aces / match+0.54.3
4.6Double faults / match+2.62

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.