Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#122ATP
1674ELO
1537Grass ELO
$248kYTD
$701kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWWWLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
#125ATP
1636ELO
1574Grass ELO
$202kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLLLLL
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer faces Mackenzie Mcdonald in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Mackenzie Mcdonald holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Mackenzie Mcdonald leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Chengdu 2025.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTCBudkov Kjaer N.55%
Mcdonald M.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1536
Surface ELO5.5+38 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap4.5Overall Elo 1636
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
3.94 of last 10 on grass
Surface form4.05 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 46%
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Q2 | hard | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 4-6 7-5 6-0 |
Statistics
Recent form63%1st serve in+1%64%
70%1st serve points won+6%64%
51%2nd serve points won+3%54%
63%Service points won+3%60%
39%Return points won+3%36%
61%Break points saved+4%57%
3.5Aces / match3.5
2.4Double faults / match+0.51.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.